“The fight against inflation”: the belligerent tone of the president expresses a lack of political planning in the face of an aggravation of the crisis

The term war, chosen by Alberto Fernández to promise a radical plan to combat inflation, is a serious misconception. This in every sense testifies to the lack of attention to the tragedy of war in all views on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Moreover, it raises expectations logically and at the same time raises acute questions about what the government has done and has not done so far. The biggest problem, however, is the lack of a political plan to deal with the worsening picture of economic and social crisis in the midst of internal cracks.

A vivid example of the problem of playing pieces on a complex board was presented back and forth along with the retention problem. On Sunday, it was announced about the decision to stop the export of soybean meal and oil, and spread the potential to increase the retention of these products, as well as corn, wheat and soybeans. With some caution, the two governors immediately announced their rejection on the same day and on Twitter: Juan Sciareti and Omar Perti.

Olivos was able to record these reports, in addition to the alleged opposition and climate increase in conflicts expressed by major agricultural groups. Viewed with a Peronist crystal, this is a bad sign of the “Albertist” aspirations that they are trying to feed in the circle of Olivos. Although the Governor of Cordoba is a non-aligned Peronist, always an ambitious partner or ally in the event of a break with difficult Kirchnerism. And the local head of Santa Fe is sometimes discriminated against It is the representation of the largest territorial weight of the approval of the president of the traditional PJ, although it was made.

In a very small calculation, the promotion of tax withholding growth has been explained in some official media as a possible gesture in favor of the striptease identified with Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and La Kampor. Everything in the field of public administration is permeated with a crack, crystallized during the legislative processing of the agreement with the IMF.

A third of the Todos Front deputies objected or abstained from discussing the draft approval of the mutual understanding with the IMF, but did not vote on a specific policy. Strictly speaking, the expected refusal of Maximo Kirchner and the silence of the CFC determined or at least reinforced the need for an agreement with the opposition party. The executive text was drafted to support Together for Change and other interblocs. Domestic photos are likely to be repeated in the Senate on Thursday.

Concerns over the issue of withholding funds threatened to complicate the procedures of the House of Representatives chaired by the CFK, and the speech at the next meeting on Thursday continues to cause speculation. Despite the fact that JXC has had extreme warnings, the positions dominate by the minimum score. Don't do anything that could make a country default. The President's recent message does not seem to change the situation.

Alberto Fernández was held yesterday at an official event held in the Malvinas Argentinas.He tried to establish a sharp discourse in a tone aimed at masking public disputes with Kirchnerism and the exchange of external accusations, such as the Macrista administration, the epidemic and economic consequences of the war caused by Moscow, while at the same time facing the seriousness crisis. Inflation and its corrosive effects were the most prominent expressions.

All polls, opinion polls and polls conducted by the ruling party show two qualitative results of covering the same warning signal. Inflation has long been at the forefront of social problems, and skepticism about the economic future is important. The President practiced amazing answers. He declared a “war on inflation” and set a start date — Friday.

In connection with this statement, the version of the increase in maintenance costs was dressed in public institutions. After the first predictable reaction from political and industry circles, it became clear that this will not affect soybeans, corn and wheat in general. A strip of soybean derivatives was opened, which can be seen in a few days.

At present, the diagnosis made by the President at yesterday's event has turned out to be a confusing part, since it includes measures that do not consider revising his policy under no circumstances, that is, he again summarized the problem due to the legacy of the coronavirus and the consequences of the pandemic, as well as the economic consequences of the war (internationally) due to Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Alberto Fernández gave a strange explanation of the “current war” to explain the new context. This is more than a controversial consideration. However, he also considered that the rise in prices was due to yesterday's own information: the announcement of the consumer price index for February before the war.

It is true that, according to experts, common sense assumes that the outcome of the war will affect the local economy, but this is not the only condition that is expected before the end of March. The evolution of the cost of living indicates that the local problem itself is more serious. One of the drag-and-drop, not the point of view.

Over the past three months, the consumer price index rose to 3.8% in December, 3.9 in January and 4.7 in February. Last year, there was a moment that caused official disputes about the breakthrough of the trend. After reaching more than 4% points after the peak of March and April, the decline line continued until August and reached 2.5%. It rose again in September and October and rose above 3 points, and fell again in November (2.5%). After that, an escalation began, which will continue this month.

Against the background of this curtain, the announcement scheduled by the President for Friday will be explained only by the need to try to negotiate with some pricing sectors, without changing the legislative the IMF agreement process, as suggested in the past few hours.

Then yesterday he returned to the speech of the President at his ceremony. In addition to the aforementioned signs of inflation and the causes of the crisis, he left the impression that the agreement with the opposition party in Congress was accidental and forced by the breaking of the ruling, which exposes the IMF deal. This would not be the line to reach consensus; at the head of the more traditional PJ, the search for support did not prevail either. The question of retention was an expression. Each of them plays a role in the reorganization of the rear after braking on the eve of the default? This is an easy read in the face of the crisis And in any case, a risk game: inflation sets limits.

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